---
{
  "id": "ASD-EXP-RESEARCH-RESEARCH-LEDGER-2026-09-22-PREDICTIONS-FALSIFICATION",
  "path": "/research/research-ledger/2026-09-22-predictions-falsification",
  "title": "Predictions & Falsification v1.0 建设记录",
  "title_en": "Predictions & Falsification v1.0 Ledger",
  "category": "实验研究计划",
  "summary": "统一主张登记、分层证伪、三个工作台、全站准备状态与复现模板；未新增独特物理预测。",
  "template": "ledger",
  "version": "1.0.0",
  "updated": "2026-09-22",
  "date_published": "2026-09-22",
  "canonical": false,
  "source_tier": "research-ledger",
  "theory_status": "OPEN",
  "evidence_status": "UNTESTED",
  "locale": "zh",
  "module_key": "experimental-program",
  "module_navigation": [
    {
      "path": "/tests",
      "label": "实验计划",
      "en": "Program"
    },
    {
      "path": "/tests/predictions",
      "label": "预测登记",
      "en": "Registry"
    },
    {
      "path": "/tests/falsification",
      "label": "证伪范围",
      "en": "Falsification"
    },
    {
      "path": "/tests/priority-experiments",
      "label": "优先实验",
      "en": "Priorities"
    },
    {
      "path": "/tests/reproducibility",
      "label": "复现标准",
      "en": "Reproducibility"
    }
  ],
  "canonical_scope": "实验研究计划；不新增正式物理结论",
  "source_chapter": "Existing canonical module snapshots / 现有正式模块快照",
  "source_reference": "Predictions & Falsification v1.0 · review 2026-09-22",
  "source_version": "EXP-7ca61744dcd2",
  "source_sha256": "7ca61744dcd2129e7fcd6902223c71166f3ededeb84b599d544cb20dba88130a",
  "source_kind": "manifest",
  "source_manifest": "predictions-source-manifest.json",
  "source_manifest_url": "/downloads/ASD_Predictions_Source_Manifest.json",
  "last_reviewed": "2026-09-22",
  "depends_on": [],
  "related": [
    "/tests",
    "/tests/predictions",
    "/tests/falsification",
    "/tests/priority-experiments",
    "/tests/reproducibility"
  ],
  "open_problems": [],
  "equations": [],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "Predictions source and scope manifest",
      "kind": "research-program",
      "url": "/downloads/ASD_Predictions_Source_Manifest.json"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ota et al. (2022), Nature Physics 18, 1436–1440",
      "url": "https://www.nature.com/articles/s41567-022-01767-w",
      "kind": "external-reference"
    },
    {
      "label": "PDG (2024), Cosmic Rays review",
      "url": "https://pdg.lbl.gov/2024/reviews/rpp2024-rev-cosmic-rays.pdf",
      "kind": "external-reference"
    },
    {
      "label": "Wolf et al. (2006), Cold Atom Clock Test of Lorentz Invariance in the Matter Sector",
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/hep-ph/0601024",
      "kind": "external-reference"
    },
    {
      "label": "BACON Collaboration (2021), optical frequency ratio network",
      "url": "https://www.nist.gov/publications/frequency-ratio-measurements-18-digit-accuracy-using-network-optical-clocks",
      "kind": "external-reference"
    }
  ],
  "outline": [
    "版本、来源与计数",
    "本轮改动",
    "未闭合事项",
    "未纳入与后续顺序"
  ],
  "seo_title": "Predictions & Falsification v1.0 建设记录 | ASD Predictions & Falsification v1.0",
  "canonical_url": "https://asd-physics.org/research/research-ledger/2026-09-22-predictions-falsification",
  "translation_path": "/en/research/research-ledger/2026-09-22-predictions-falsification",
  "mathematical_review": "INCOMPLETE",
  "evidence_note": "尚无闭合定量判别预测；工作台为规划或比较模型。",
  "ledger": {
    "kind": "EXPERIMENTAL PROGRAM",
    "previous": "Quantum Phenomena Foundation v1.0",
    "change": "全站预测、证伪、工作台与复现标准",
    "theoretical_change": false,
    "affected_paths": [
      "/tests",
      "/tests/predictions",
      "/tests/falsification",
      "/tests/priority-experiments",
      "/tests/directional-atomic-clock",
      "/tests/muon-survival",
      "/tests/case-studies/high-gamma-charge-field",
      "/tests/case-studies/s301",
      "/tests/reproducibility",
      "/research/reproducibility",
      "/open-problems/experiments/quantitative-discriminator",
      "/open-problems"
    ],
    "affected_equations": []
  }
}
---
## 版本、来源与计数

| 项目 | 本轮记录 |
| --- | --- |
| Module version | Predictions & Falsification 1.0.0 |
| Source snapshot | 见页面来源快照与下载清单；基线为 Quantum v1.0 源码 |
| Equation count | 本轮新增正式 ASD 方程 0；沿用现有 235 个稳定网站式号 |
| Prediction count | 11 条：4 项共同结果、7 项候选；定量判别预测 0 |
| New open problems | OP-EXP-001；总计 40 个编号，含 3 个历史别名 |
| Experimental relations | 47 项关系补充 readiness，原证据状态不变 |

## 本轮改动

升级原 /tests，新增四个核心入口及 /research/reproducibility。方向钟、μ 子与高 γ 工作台提供可导出的规划/比较数据。S301 明确 DATA-GATED。开放问题增加 priority、readiness、expertise，并同步英文。Matter 和 Quantum 账本补齐统一版本字段；Quantum 元数据标注新审查日期，发布全站 sitemap 与 JSON-LD。

## 未闭合事项

没有独立钟种调制振幅、ASD 衰变危险率、高速源—电光信号拟合或 S301 轨道拟合。标准曲线和合成输入不属于观测。需要原始数据的项目未联系数据作者；文件与网页写明数据状态。

## 未纳入与后续顺序

本轮不增加纠缠、Cosmology 正文、母方程、稳定电子解或 Born 普适性证明。后续顺序为 ASD Researcher v1.0 → Reproducibility & Data Release v1.0 → 再评估 Cosmology。工程构建、协议检查和基线复算不替代物理同行评议。